Variable efficacy of repeated annual influenza vaccination

Conclusions have differed in studies that have compared vaccine efficacy in groups receiving influenza vaccine for the first time to efficacy in groups vaccinated more than once. For example, the Hoskins study [Hoskins, T. W., Davis, J. R., Smith, A. J., Miller, C. L. & Allchin, A. (1979) Lancet i, 33–35] concluded that repeat vaccination was not protective in the long term, whereas the Keitel study [Keitel, W. A., Cate, T. R., Couch, R. B., Huggins, L. L. & Hess, K. R. (1997) Vaccine 15, 1114–1122] concluded that repeat vaccination provided continual protection. We propose an explanation, the antigenic distance hypothesis, and test it by analyzing seven influenza outbreaks that occurred during the Hoskins and Keitel studies. The hypothesis is that variation in repeat vaccine efficacy is due to differences in antigenic distances among vaccine strains and between the vaccine strains and the epidemic strain in each outbreak. To test the hypothesis, antigenic distances were calculated from historical hemagglutination inhibition assay tables, and a computer model of the immune response was used to predict the vaccine efficacy of individuals given different vaccinations. The model accurately predicted the observed vaccine efficacies in repeat vaccinees relative to the efficacy in first-time vaccinees (correlation 0.87). Thus, the antigenic distance hypothesis offers a parsimonious explanation of the differences between and within the Hoskins and Keitel studies. These results have implications for the selection of influenza vaccine strains, and also for vaccination strategies for other antigenically variable pathogens that might require repeated vaccination.

Live attenuated HIV vaccines: Predicting the tradeoff between efficacy and safety

The utility of live attenuated vaccines for controlling HIV epidemics is being debated. Live attenuated HIV vaccines (LAHVs) could be extremely effective in protecting against infection with wild-type strains, but may not be completely safe as the attenuated strain could cause AIDS in some vaccinated individuals. We present a theoretical framework for evaluating the consequences of the tradeoff between vaccine efficacy (in terms of preventing new infections with wild-type strains) and safety (in terms of vaccine-induced AIDS deaths). We use our framework to predict, for Zimbabwe and Thailand, the epidemiological impact of 1,000 different (specified by efficacy and safety characteristics) LAHVs. We predict that paradoxically: (i) in Zimbabwe (where transmission is high) LAHVs would significantly decrease the AIDS death rate, but (ii) in Thailand (where transmission is low) exactly the same vaccines (in terms of efficacy and safety characteristics) would increase the AIDS death rate. Our results imply that a threshold transmission rate exists that determines whether any given LAHV has a beneficial or a detrimental impact. We also determine the vaccine perversity point, which is defined in terms of the fraction of vaccinated individuals who progress to AIDS as a result of the vaccine strain. Vaccination with any LAHV that causes more than 5% of vaccinated individuals to progress to AIDS in 25 years would, even 50 years later, lead to perversity (i.e., increase the annual AIDS death rate) in Thailand; these same vaccines would lead to decreases in the annual AIDS death rate in Zimbabwe.

Boosting with recombinant vaccinia increases immunogenicity and protective efficacy of malaria DNA vaccine

To enhance the efficacy of DNA malaria vaccines, we evaluated the effect on protection of immunizing with various combinations of DNA, recombinant vaccinia virus, and a synthetic peptide. Immunization of BALB/c mice with a plasmid expressing Plasmodium yoelii (Py) circumsporozoite protein (CSP) induces H-2Kd-restricted CD8+ cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) responses and CD8+ T cell- and interferon (IFN)-γ-dependent protection of mice against challenge with Py sporozoites. Immunization with a multiple antigenic peptide, including the only reported H-2Kd-restricted CD8+ T cell epitope on the PyCSP (PyCSP CTL multiple antigenic peptide) and immunization with recombinant vaccinia expressing the PyCSP induced CTL but only modest to minimal protection. Mice were immunized with PyCSP DNA, PyCSP CTL multiple antigenic peptide, or recombinant vaccinia expressing PyCSP, were boosted 9 wk later with the same immunogen or one of the others, and were challenged. Only mice immunized with DNA and boosted with vaccinia PyCSP (D-V) (11/16: 69%) or DNA (D-D) (7/16: 44%) had greater protection (P < 0.0007) than controls. D-V mice had significantly higher individual levels of antibodies and class I-restricted CTL activity than did D-D mice; IFN-γ production by ELIspot also was higher in D-V than in D-D mice. In a second experiment, three different groups of D-V mice each had higher levels of protection than did D-D mice, and IFN-γ production was significantly greater in D-V than in D-D mice. The observation that priming with PyCSP DNA and boosting with vaccinia-PyCSP is more immunogenic and protective than immunizing with PyCSP DNA alone supports consideration of a similar sequential immunization approach in humans.

Systemic administration of interleukin 2 enhances the therapeutic efficacy of dendritic cell-based tumor vaccines

We have reported previously that murine bone marrow-derived dendritic cells (DC) pulsed with whole tumor lysates can mediate potent antitumor immune responses both in vitro and in vivo. Because successful therapy was dependent on host immune T cells, we have now evaluated whether the systemic administration of the T cell stimulatory/growth promoting cytokine interleukin-2 (IL-2) could enhance tumor lysate-pulsed DC-based immunizations to further promote protective immunity toward, and therapeutic rejection of, syngeneic murine tumors. In three separate approaches using a weakly immunogenic sarcoma (MCA-207), the systemic administration of nontoxic doses of recombinant IL-2 (20,000 and 40,000 IU/dose) was capable of mediating significant increases in the potency of DC-based immunizations. IL-2 could augment the efficacy of tumor lysate-pulsed DC to induce protective immunity to lethal tumor challenge as well as enhance splenic cytotoxic T lymphocyte activity and interferon-γ production in these treated mice. Moreover, treatment with the combination of tumor lysate-pulsed DC and IL-2 could also mediate regressions of established pulmonary 3-day micrometastases and 7-day macrometastases as well as established 14- and 28-day s.c. tumors, leading to either significant cure rates or prolongation in overall survival. Collectively, these findings show that nontoxic doses of recombinant IL-2 can potentiate the antitumor effects of tumor lysate-pulsed DC in vivo and provide preclinical rationale for the use of IL-2 in DC-based vaccine strategies in patients with advanced cancer.